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Leading monetary economists discuss applied aspects of monetary policy and offer practical research on the timing, magnitude and channels of central banking actions in this study. Some of the papers in this volume evaluate a variety of policy rules based on monetary aggregates, nominal income, commodity prices and other economic variables. Others analyze price behaviour and inflation, particularly the short-run behaviour of prices. The monetary transmission mechanism - the channel through which the central bank's actions affect spending on goods and services - with a focus on the reduction in bank lending that must accompany a reduction in reserves, is also assessed.
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• Acknowledgments Preface I: Theories and Evidence
• 1: Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview
• 2: Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective
• 3: Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations
• 4: Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements
• 5: Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau II: History and Measurement
• 6: How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction
• 7: Business Cycles and Growth
• 8: The Regularity of Business Cycles
• 9: Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy III: Indicators
• 10: Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses
• 11: Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators
• 12: Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes Phillip Braun IV: Forecasting
• 13: On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions
• 14: An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts
• 15: The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts
• 16: Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts
• 17: Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction Louis A. Lambros
• 18: The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting References Author Index Subject Index.
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This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
(source: Nielsen Book Data)

The papers in this volume present an excellent sampling of the best of current research in labor economics, combining the most sophisticated theory and econometric methods with high-quality data on a variety of problems. Originally presented at a Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research conference on labor markets in 1978, and not published elsewhere, the thirteen papers treat four interrelated themes: labor mobility, job turnover, and life-cycle dynamics; the analysis of unemployment compensation and employment policy; labor market discrimination; and labor market information and investment. The Introduction by Sherwin Rosen provides a thoughtful guide to the contents of the papers and offers suggestions for continuing research.
(source: Nielsen Book Data)